Author : “Ken Chiang”

Topics : Extreme High CPI index on the market

正文:

這禮拜市場受到 CPI index 上漲的因素 , 美國三大指數基本上都是跌幅做收 , 而這也是因為大家一直擔心

通膨是不是太快了 ,

聯準會是不是錯估了升息的問題 ?

聯準會公開市場買債的金額是不是要開始下修了?

市場是不是真的像之前財政部長耶倫 所說的一樣 recover too strong ?

還是說只是因為去年這個時候能源價格太低 ,導致現在這個 CPI 過高 , 只是一個基期過低問題而已 ?

種種的一切都有一派說法 , 而也是因為這樣的不確定性又讓市場找到跌幅的故事 .

S&P 500

source: investing.com

Dow Jones


Author : “Ken Chiang”

Topics : Yellen on Raising Interest Rates

Yellen on Raising Interest Rates

‘“US Treasury secretary Janet Yellen warned on Tuesday(05/04) that interest rates may need to rise over time to keep the US economy from overheating””

→ and the market response

Nasdaq 100

source: investing.com

Author : “Ken Chiang”

Topic :

Apple 2021 FQ2 earning report

正文:

As a Finance student who own iPhone , Mac , AirPods , apple watch ,

I have to do an earning report review for my Fav’ company !

(Not a financial Advise )

First , does apple meet the expectation

Apple Q1(FQ2) EPS is 1.4 → beats by 0.42 $

Revenue is 89.6 Billions. →beats by $ 12 B

from the past history data , we can points out that , it has been a while that apple have this kind of performance in FQ2

source:https://www.marketbeat.com/stocks/NASDAQ/AAPL/earnings/

and we all…


Author “ Ken Chiang“

Topic :

  1. Market Recap
  2. Biden Capital Gains tax
  3. Ray Dalio “Why in the World Would You Own Bonds When…”

正文 :

— — Market Recape — —

這禮拜市場基本上是持平的 , 其中比較大的跌幅就是 Biden 的 Capital Gains tax ,但是長期的歷史數據也顯示 , tax rate 和大盤 long term 來看是比較沒有顯著相關的 ,

S&P500

Nasdaq


Author : “Ken Chiang”

Topics :

  1. Jerome Powell interview on 60 minutes

2 . Elon Musk to Cathie Wood→ What do you think of the unusually high ratio of S&P market cap to GDP

正文 :

— -Weekly Market Review —

過去這一個禮拜是 2021 Q1 的財報週 , 也可以說是又一次對復甦經濟的考核,總體而言,有很多產業的財報表現亮眼 ,但先來看看這禮拜大盤對此熱鬧財報週的反應:

s&p :

Nasdaq


Author : “Ken Chiang”

Topics :

1.World Economic Indicator

2. Fed conference note (April 07)

3. JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon letter to the shareholder

正文:

— — — World Economic Indicator — — — —

上週五(3/31) , 非農就業數據量亮眼(ADP ,Chicago PMI index)

3 月 ADP 主要公布數據後遠超預期,且2月至3月的漲幅也有目共睹

2月 117,000 → 3月517,000

February

Author : “Ken Chiang”

Topic :

  1. 10-years U.S. Treasury yield
  2. Biden’s 2 Trillion Infrastructure Proposal
  3. Chicago PMI ,ADP index

正文:

—— 10-years U.S. Treasury yield — — — —

大家應該都知道現金折現流評價法,也因為很多大型科技公司都以此估計,美債的長期殖利率就變成是不管是債市或股市都不可忽略的一項指標,而近期3個月美債殖利率的陡升也照成市場的關注,

以下是Cathie Wood以及Gary black,3/21在twitter上的討論

分享給大家參考

首先

根據 WSJ 目前(2021/4/25)的美國大盤 S&P500 的 P/E Ratio 約為 45.5%

且目前市場的10年期美債殖利率為1.72%

那他們兩個人主要的辯論就是T-Bill Rate 對於美國S&P 500 PE ratio 的影響.

→ Cathie wood 在2021/3/21 被標注且評論:

KenForGood

👨🏻‍💻 紀錄生活,紀錄Market!

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